From Amos Tversky's Scrap of Paper

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Amos Tversky was not known as a hoarder. He was the very opposite. He threw away things that didn't matter, and many things which might have. He eschewed social norms. But of his past he did keep a single scrap of paper. On it was written:
People predict by making up stories
People predict very little and explain everything
People live under uncertainty whether they like it or not
People believe they can tell the future if they work hard enough
People accept any explanation as long as it fits the facts
The handwriting was on the wall, it was just the ink that was
     invisible

 People often work hard to obtain information they already have
     And avoid new knowledge
Man is a deterministic device thrown into a probabilistic
     Universe
In this match, surprises are expected
Everything that has already happened must have been inevitable

 -The Undoing Project, by Michael Lewis, page 147 of 278

Once a 15-year old paratrooper, Amos who would go on to lay the foundations of behavioural economics with Daniel Kahneman. Was that inevitable?


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